... Anybody any idea what's going on? It's 9.57 pm, and looks like a dead-heat, except that everyone* thinks Berlusconi has pulled a rabbit out of the hat.
I'm scarcely wowed by Prodi, but how anyone can countenance voting Forza Italia is as beyond my comprehension as understanding those who supported Dubya.
(* except the punters on the Betfair markets. I laid Romano at 1.6, and backed Silvio at 3.45.)
UPDATE 11.47 pm: no closer to knowing. I still want Berlusconi to lose, but now feel conflicted by the profit I make if he wins (it's best to bet against your heart).
UPDATE 2.03 am: Prodi claiming victory. I'm happy to forfeit my (grubby) Berlusconi profits.
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It seems that the Left Coalition has a majority of votes for the Chamber. A particularly bad aspect of the electoral law is the winner's bonus seats, which in this instance will work against Berlusconi who introduced it.
In the Senate it appears there is a 1 seat advantage to Berlusconi for the Senators elected in Italy. In addition there are six Senators elected by Italians abroad, who seem more likely to support the left than the right and seven Life Senators (who it seems do not usually vote on the approval of a new government.
This all seems to be subject to recounts.
I have noticed that Lib Den Councillors don't attend council and area meeting anymore in the Oxford area, any reason for this?
Erm, not sure what you mean...? Lib Dems have been out in force at all the Council meetings I've been to recently.
Any specific issues, can I suggest you e-mail me at stephen@stephentall.org.uk.
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