This was my prediction on PoliticalBetting.com of the results of the first round of the French presidential election:
Nicolas Sarkozy 28.9%
Ségolène Royal 22.8%
Jean-Marie Le Pen 16.5%
François Bayrou 15.3%
This compares with the latest set of figures at LeTemps.ch:
Nicolas Sarkozy 30.0% (+1.1%)
Ségolène Royal 25.2% (+2.4%)
François Bayrou 18.3% (+3.0%)
Jean-Marie Le Pen 11.5% (-5.0%)
So, within the +/-3% accepted margin of error for all but Le Pen, whose vote I wildly overstated. Sometimes it’s good to be wrong.
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1 comment:
Can't say I disagree with you that it's sometimes good to be wrong.
Here's a 'brainer' for you:
Sarkozy is sure to win but only by a slim margin - how slim do you reckon will that margin be?
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